BAFTA awards BETTING: Best Film

Who's going to win the polite version of the Oscars?

In the running: Atonement (1.54), No Country for Old Men (3.05), There Will Be Blood (8.2), American Gangster (13.5), The Lives of Others (22)

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In a couple of years the Oscars will probably be Scientologists only, with all prizes going to Cruise, Travolta, and their new recruit (by then), Will Smith. Such is the hard hitting power of Scientology that Cruise can be found actually speaking without a script, which unfortunately does nothing but confuse absolutely anyone listening, such is the little man's complete inability to explain whatever the hell it is that he's talking about.

Still, one place where Scientology will never catch on is glorious Blighty, where most of us still think that church is a dirty word. Which, be honest, it is.

So, who the Christ is going to win a Bafta?

» Only seven of the last twenty Best Films have gone on to win the Best Picture Oscar. No Country for Old Men is the favourite for the Academy Award, so may have to miss out here. The last film to win the Bafta and the Oscar was Lord of The Rings: Return of The King (2003).

» Two films have won Best Film without even getting an Oscar nomination - Jean de Florette (1987), and The Commitments (1991).

» Seven of the last twenty Best Films have been British made - The Last Emperor (1988), Howard's End (1992), Four Weddings and a Funeral (1994), Sense and Sensibility (1995), The Full Monty (1997), Shakespeare in Love (1998), The Queen (2006). Of the other fourteen, all are US made, bar five (The Pianist, 2002; Lord of The Rings, 2001 and 2003; The Commitments, 1991; Jean de Florette, 1987). Atonement is the most English film ever made.

» Only three of the last twenty Best Films have starred the Best Actor - this year Daniel Day Lewis is favourite for the acting gong for his big performance in There Will Be Blood.

» There have also been just three Best Actresses starring in the Best Film - Julie Christie is the runaway favourite for her portrait of a lady with Alzheimer's disease in Away from Her.